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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314302060805051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#10
16.91.4
14.716.1
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 4.8
21.71.5
16.317.8
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
Second
6961
#29
7.61.4
8.19.5
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End0.9
blue by 8.1
3489
#26
15.70.9
13.614.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Third
4701
#27
7.51.4
6.47.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 1.0
7104
#28
8.41.5
7.59.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed