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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5725040801001204643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.4
20.720.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 6.4
18.50.8
14.515.3
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
342
#4
17.70.4
18.017.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
red by 7.0
7085
#13
10.70.8
5.66.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Third
6961
#29
7.60.4
8.78.2
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End0.9
red by 1.0
1293
#24
6.60.8
6.26.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed