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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255004060801003350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6167
#18
12.00.5
11.411.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End1.0
blue by 9.1
281
#6
21.10.5
18.619.1
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Second
1539
#14
10.10.5
9.610.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 7.4
5130
#17
17.60.5
16.416.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
Third
1758
#16
6.50.5
4.55.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
blue by 2.0
7104
#28
8.40.8
7.68.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed