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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35470204060801001666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#11
16.01.2
16.315.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End1.1
blue by 8.2
24.31.0
22.223.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Second
1051
#19
10.51.2
11.110.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 8.9
19.31.0
14.915.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Third
9315
#23
4.81.2
5.94.8
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 0.4
3976
#21
5.11.0
3.64.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned