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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52582030407080901004556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#17
17.60.2
16.916.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 7.3
24.90.1
20.320.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
Second
8575
#11
16.00.2
15.114.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End1.1
blue by 8.2
24.30.1
23.223.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Third
3489
#26
15.70.2
15.515.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
red by 7.0
9571
#12
8.80.1
8.28.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed