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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6422040801001205739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.5
19.219.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
red by 11.2
1051
#19
10.50.4
10.09.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Second
18.20.3
16.616.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 10.6
6961
#29
7.60.4
8.27.9
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Third
2815
#10
16.90.3
16.717.0
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
red by 9.7
1319
#20
7.20.4
6.35.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned