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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4257020801003567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.3
15.915.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
blue by 8.9
343
#2
28.20.8
25.726.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Second
342
#4
17.70.3
17.617.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 3.4
281
#6
21.10.8
19.119.9
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Third
9086
#25
8.70.3
6.25.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8
red by 2.2
1758
#16
6.50.8
5.05.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned