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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254002060802067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9571
#12
8.80.3
8.27.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End1.4
blue by 16.1
24.91.5
20.321.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
Second
4701
#27
7.50.3
9.18.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 3.2
7085
#13
10.71.5
6.47.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Third
6910
#22
4.60.3
7.47.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 4.3
8137
#15
8.91.5
7.59.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed