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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27480204060801005331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#17
17.61.1
16.717.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 0.9
18.50.8
16.315.4
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
1319
#20
7.21.1
5.97.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
blue by 11.0
18.20.8
16.916.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
3976
#21
5.11.1
4.35.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 3.3
7104
#28
8.41.2
7.96.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed