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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5151354045556065704564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.6
19.719.1
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
blue by 2.6
24.30.5
23.223.7
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Second
281
#6
21.10.4
19.919.5
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 4.2
2815
#10
16.90.5
17.017.5
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
1293
#24
6.60.4
6.66.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 2.0
9086
#25
8.70.5
5.96.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed