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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4221060804734

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#11
16.00.4
14.915.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End1.1
red by 7.2
8137
#15
8.90.2
9.08.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Second
6167
#18
12.00.4
12.813.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End1.0
red by 7.2
9315
#23
4.80.2
5.75.5
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Third
6961
#29
7.60.4
7.98.3
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End0.9
red by 3.0
6910
#22
4.60.2
7.16.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned