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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34490204060805634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.31.6
15.617.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
red by 1.6
342
#4
17.70.5
17.316.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Second
7085
#13
10.71.6
7.99.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
blue by 5.0
3489
#26
15.70.5
15.314.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Third
1539
#14
10.11.6
8.710.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 0.3
1051
#19
10.50.5
9.69.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed