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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681604060801001208427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#2
28.20.6
26.527.1
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End4.8
red by 19.6
9086
#25
8.70.4
6.46.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Second
24.90.6
21.822.4
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 17.4
4701
#27
7.50.4
8.89.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
1319
#20
7.20.6
7.17.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
red by 0.7
1758
#16
6.50.4
5.86.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed