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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45462030405060705144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.1
15.415.3
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
blue by 3.2
21.70.2
19.119.3
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
Second
2815
#10
16.90.1
17.517.4
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
red by 0.8
8575
#11
16.00.2
15.415.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Third
9571
#12
8.80.1
7.97.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End1.4
red by 4.2
6910
#22
4.60.2
6.97.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed