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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222101030403117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
#19
10.50.3
10.611.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 1.8
9086
#25
8.70.4
6.15.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Second
1758
#16
6.50.3
2.32.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
blue by 2.0
7104
#28
8.40.6
9.18.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Third
6910
#22
4.60.3
3.63.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 2.6
1319
#20
7.20.4
7.57.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed