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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4870204060805044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.7
19.019.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 13.6
7085
#13
10.70.9
5.26.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Second
5130
#17
17.60.7
14.114.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
red by 7.4
1539
#14
10.10.9
5.36.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Third
4701
#27
7.50.7
5.15.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 2.7
9315
#23
4.80.9
0.51.3
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed