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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324102060802942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.1
17.417.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
blue by 5.6
24.90.1
22.422.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
Second
9571
#12
8.80.1
7.77.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End1.4
red by 1.3
4701
#27
7.50.1
8.48.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
9315
#23
4.80.1
5.15.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 0.4
3976
#21
5.10.1
5.05.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed