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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513702060801004942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.4
19.319.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
blue by 2.6
24.30.1
22.923.0
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Second
18.20.3
16.516.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 9.8
7104
#28
8.40.2
6.66.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Third
7085
#13
10.70.3
8.79.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
red by 4.2
1758
#16
6.50.1
5.45.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed