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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30550204060801004149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#26
15.70.6
14.615.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
blue by 1.9
342
#4
17.70.2
15.816.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Second
8137
#15
8.90.6
8.79.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 8.7
5130
#17
17.60.2
17.017.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
Third
9086
#25
8.70.6
6.87.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8
blue by 3.3
6167
#18
12.00.2
13.613.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed