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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683902060801008544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#2
28.21.5
27.028.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End4.8
red by 7.1
281
#6
21.10.4
18.719.1
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Second
18.51.5
15.316.8
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 8.0
1051
#19
10.50.4
9.49.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
8575
#11
16.01.5
15.517.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End1.1
red by 5.9
1539
#14
10.10.4
10.410.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed