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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261704060801001923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4701
#27
7.50.9
8.37.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 0.8
1293
#24
6.60.3
6.26.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Second
1319
#20
7.20.9
6.75.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
red by 0.7
1758
#16
6.50.3
5.55.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Third
6910
#22
4.60.9
7.06.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 0.1
9315
#23
4.80.3
5.04.8
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed