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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54490204060801001206852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.0
22.323.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 3.2
21.70.5
19.720.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End0.4
Second
5130
#17
17.61.0
17.218.1
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 1.8
19.30.5
17.317.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Third
7085
#13
10.71.0
9.010.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
red by 3.1
6961
#29
7.60.5
7.78.2
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed