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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574602040801006748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.2
23.022.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 7.4
2815
#10
16.90.3
16.516.2
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Second
18.20.2
16.816.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 2.1
8575
#11
16.00.3
17.016.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Third
1539
#14
10.10.2
10.810.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7
red by 1.3
8137
#15
8.90.3
9.39.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned