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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532204060801005634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.8
17.818.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.1
End2.7
red by 8.6
7085
#13
10.70.7
10.010.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Second
2815
#10
16.90.8
16.216.9
Auto7.9
Teleop6.5
End2.4
red by 8.2
9086
#25
8.70.7
8.08.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Third
1051
#19
10.50.8
10.311.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 3.8
1293
#24
6.60.7
6.06.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed