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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285702040801002863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6167
#18
12.00.1
12.712.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End1.0
blue by 16.2
343
#2
28.20.0
27.427.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Second
8137
#15
8.90.1
9.08.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 6.9
3489
#26
15.70.0
15.815.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Third
4701
#27
7.50.1
7.57.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 2.3
3976
#21
5.10.0
5.25.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed