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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6515040801001207426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#6
21.11.4
19.721.1
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 12.3
9571
#12
8.80.4
8.38.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Second
18.51.4
17.018.4
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 11.3
1319
#20
7.20.4
5.96.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Third
342
#4
17.71.4
16.217.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
red by 11.2
1758
#16
6.50.4
5.35.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed