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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6951204060801001205842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#2
28.20.5
28.127.6
Auto7.6
Teleop15.8
End4.8
red by 7.1
281
#6
21.10.1
21.321.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Second
24.90.5
24.724.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 7.3
5130
#17
17.60.1
17.817.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End1.6
Third
1319
#20
7.20.5
7.16.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End1.4
blue by 1.5
9086
#25
8.70.1
8.98.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.8