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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352203040607080901007548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.6
23.323.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 5.8
18.50.0
18.818.8
Auto9.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
18.20.6
17.217.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 0.5
342
#4
17.70.0
18.018.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Third
7104
#28
8.40.6
7.48.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
blue by 1.7
1539
#14
10.10.0
10.410.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End0.7