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Red18
4935-0.5
99991.1
348918.9
Blue33
99966.2
99946.5
350621.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433301001502002501833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#14
18.90.7
21.921.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End0.8
blue by 2.3
21.30.1
19.619.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End0.6
Second
9999
#12
1.11.2
1.1-0.1
Auto2.7
Teleop-1.7
End0.3
blue by 5.4
9994
#17
6.50.1
7.47.5
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.2
Third
4935
#20Sur
-0.50.7
0.80.1
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.8
End0.4
blue by 6.7
9996
#22
6.20.1
5.05.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed