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Red42
281517.9
691925.1
857516.1
Blue59
34325.2
445136.9
94774.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718402040601001201401604259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#13
25.11.6
30.328.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.9
End1.0
blue by 11.8
36.92.0
35.032.9
Auto14.7
Teleop20.2
End2.0
Second
2815
#4Sur
17.91.6
16.014.4
Auto10.8
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 7.3
343
#2
25.22.0
31.129.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End4.2
Third
8575
#24
16.11.6
19.918.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 11.3
9477
#25Sur
4.82.0
8.56.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned