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Red56
949633.4
3429.9
636624.5
Blue58
453318.9
349015.8
110222.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87650501001505658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9496
#7Sur
33.41.4
33.432.0
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
red by 10.4
22.90.3
24.424.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Second
6366
#11
24.51.4
30.729.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End0.9
red by 5.6
4533
#19
18.90.3
24.223.9
Auto8.5
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Third
342
#23
9.91.4
12.210.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.0
blue by 5.9
3490
#6Sur
15.80.3
13.813.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed