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Red79
348918.9
886612.9
998215.1
Blue9
99983.6
99924.2
81376.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51200406080100120799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#14
18.90.8
21.121.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End0.8
red by 12.9
8137
#10
6.11.1
7.86.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End0.9
Second
15.11.4
6.78.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 10.9
9992
#18
4.21.9
9.17.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.3
End0.2
Third
12.90.8
11.912.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End0.7
red by 9.2
9998
#16
3.61.9
3.81.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed