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Red25
99975.3
81376.1
99946.5
Blue52
636624.5
348918.9
34325.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194501502552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9994
#17
6.50.2
4.54.4
Auto4.8
Teleop1.6
End0.2
blue by 18.7
343
#2
25.22.0
28.226.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End4.2
Second
8137
#10
6.10.1
6.66.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End0.9
blue by 18.4
6366
#11
24.52.0
29.527.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End0.9
Third
9997
#15
5.30.2
5.35.2
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End0.3
blue by 13.6
3489
#14
18.92.0
19.417.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed