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Red61
349015.8
886612.9
636624.5
Blue56
350621.3
998215.1
453318.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595930405070806156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#11
24.50.4
30.330.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End0.9
red by 3.2
21.30.1
19.519.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End0.6
Second
15.80.4
13.413.8
Auto7.2
Teleop8.0
End0.6
blue by 3.1
4533
#19
18.90.1
24.124.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Third
12.90.4
11.511.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End0.7
blue by 2.3
15.10.2
6.56.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed