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Red45
281517.9
110222.9
99966.2
Blue68
99975.3
445136.9
949633.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528102040601001201401604568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.9
25.324.4
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.6
blue by 14.0
36.90.5
35.535.0
Auto14.7
Teleop20.2
End2.0
Second
17.90.9
16.916.0
Auto10.8
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 15.5
33.40.5
33.933.4
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
Third
9996
#22
6.21.5
6.55.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End0.8
red by 0.9
9997
#15
5.30.8
6.15.2
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed