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Red80
445136.9
857516.1
949633.4
Blue72
691925.1
886612.9
281517.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965301502008072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.1
35.535.5
Auto14.7
Teleop20.2
End2.0
red by 11.8
6919
#13
25.10.4
24.324.8
Auto10.2
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Second
33.40.1
32.031.9
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
red by 15.5
17.90.4
17.117.5
Auto10.8
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
8575
#24
16.10.1
16.216.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 3.2
12.90.4
12.112.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End0.7