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Red68
636624.5
349015.8
34325.2
Blue79
998215.1
110222.9
350621.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745701001502002506879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#2
25.20.1
25.625.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End4.2
red by 2.3
22.90.5
21.922.4
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Second
6366
#11
24.50.1
24.924.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.8
End0.9
red by 3.2
21.30.5
20.220.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End0.6
Third
15.80.1
16.015.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.0
End0.6
red by 0.7
15.10.8
13.414.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End1.0