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Red143
445136.9
348918.9
949633.4
Blue82
998215.1
110222.9
350621.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9855015014382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.2
35.536.6
Auto14.7
Teleop20.2
End2.0
red by 14.0
22.90.5
22.423.0
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.6
Second
33.41.2
31.933.1
Auto11.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
red by 12.1
21.30.5
20.721.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End0.6
Third
3489
#14
18.91.2
17.518.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End0.8
red by 3.8
15.10.9
14.215.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End1.0