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Qual 162024 Sunset Showdown
Red63
167121.6
724511.9
62388.1
Blue54
65061.4
167844.5
207328.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391080501506354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#11
21.61.0
19.9→20.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End2.6
blue by 22.9
1678
#5
44.52.4
53.6→51.2
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End4.6
Second
7245
#16
11.91.0
11.3→12.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End1.7
blue by 16.7
2073
#6
28.62.4
31.8→29.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Third
6238
#26
8.11.0
12.2→13.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End-1.0
red by 6.7
6506
#34
1.42.4
3.9→1.6
Auto0.1
Teleop1.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed