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Red38
91439.4
502618.0
247315.8
Blue66
161920.5
74138.0
947011.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5644020801001203866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#17
18.00.7
22.922.1
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.1
blue by 2.5
1619
#14
20.51.3
17.118.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
Second
2473
#27
15.80.7
17.516.7
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End0.8
red by 4.6
9470
#35
11.11.3
12.814.1
Auto7.6
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Third
9143
#40
9.40.7
8.78.0
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End1.7
red by 1.4
7413
#37
8.01.3
11.112.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed