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Red58
25440.9
958410.1
76678.2
Blue49
84022.1
38596.7
550714.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825401001505849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
40.90.8
45.644.8
Auto13.8
Teleop21.8
End5.4
red by 18.8
840
#8
22.10.2
25.725.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
9584
#21
10.10.8
11.410.5
Auto5.4
Teleop2.8
End1.9
blue by 4.4
5507
#28
14.50.2
17.717.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
7667
#38
8.20.8
13.612.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
red by 1.5
3859
#25
6.70.2
9.18.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed