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Qual 192024 Sunset Showdown
Red67
60442.9
87934.5
661926.2
Blue38
69613.2
84135.6
541921.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981070501502006738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
42.91.5
48.3→46.8
Auto17.1
Teleop22.1
End3.7
red by 7.3
841
#4
35.63.8
36.9→33.0
Auto8.9
Teleop24.1
End2.7
Second
6619
#24
26.21.5
34.9→33.4
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End0.7
red by 5.2
5419
#30
21.03.8
33.4→29.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End3.5
Third
8793
#22
4.51.5
6.2→4.7
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End1.8
blue by 8.7
696
#29
13.23.8
25.1→21.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed