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Red20
69613.2
76678.2
41866.4
Blue69
947011.1
641823.7
545818.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4263020801001202069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#29
13.21.4
19.718.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
blue by 10.4
6418
#13
23.71.0
20.821.7
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Second
7667
#38
8.21.4
12.210.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
blue by 10.6
5458
#12
18.81.0
21.222.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.4
Third
4186
#39
6.41.4
8.57.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End2.1
blue by 4.8
9470
#35
11.11.0
12.813.7
Auto7.6
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed