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Qual 402024 Sunset Showdown
Red44
87934.5
62388.1
804822.7
Blue96
25440.9
140325.7
161920.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331040501504496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#19
22.70.4
22.5→22.9
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
blue by 18.2
254
#2
40.90.5
42.7→43.3
Auto13.8
Teleop21.8
End5.4
Second
6238
#26
8.10.4
11.3→11.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End-1.0
blue by 17.6
1403
#10
25.70.5
24.4→25.0
Auto8.1
Teleop17.8
End-0.1
Third
8793
#22
4.50.4
4.7→5.1
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End1.8
blue by 15.9
1619
#14
20.50.5
18.6→19.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed