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Red32
541921.0
661926.2
38596.7
Blue23
666220.0
84616.2
25519.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73480204060801001201403223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6619
#24
26.22.1
31.429.4
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End0.7
red by 6.2
20.01.6
18.216.7
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Second
5419
#30
21.02.1
25.423.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End3.5
red by 4.8
846
#36
16.21.6
17.215.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Third
3859
#25
6.72.1
6.24.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 2.3
2551
#32
9.01.6
10.99.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed