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Qual 442024 Sunset Showdown
Red76
207328.6
60442.9
62388.1
Blue94
19679.1
167844.5
594043.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93127501502007694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
42.91.6
47.0→45.4
Auto17.1
Teleop22.1
End3.7
blue by 1.7
1678
#5
44.51.1
50.3→49.1
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End4.6
Second
2073
#6
28.61.6
29.8→28.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End2.2
blue by 14.4
5940
#1
43.01.1
48.0→46.8
Auto13.4
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Third
6238
#26
8.11.6
11.6→10.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End-1.0
blue by 1.0
1967
#33
9.11.1
12.5→11.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed87%Ensemble oddsEarned