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Red88
167121.6
84135.6
502618.0
Blue56
76678.2
804822.7
741918.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87520204060801001201408856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
35.60.9
31.632.5
Auto8.9
Teleop24.1
End2.7
red by 12.9
8048
#19
22.70.2
22.923.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
1671
#11
21.60.9
22.823.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End2.6
red by 3.6
7419
#15
18.00.2
17.517.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End2.6
Third
5026
#17
18.00.9
19.920.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.1
red by 9.8
7667
#38
8.20.2
10.811.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed