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Red54
641823.7
161920.5
550714.5
Blue13
74138.0
592412.1
87934.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68300204060801001205413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#13
23.70.3
21.721.4
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End2.3
red by 11.6
5924
#23
12.11.2
14.213.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End-0.0
Second
1619
#14
20.50.3
19.218.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
red by 12.4
7413
#37
8.01.2
12.110.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End1.7
Third
5507
#28
14.50.3
16.215.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.0
red by 10.0
8793
#22
4.51.2
5.13.8
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed