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Red60
87934.5
167844.5
724511.9
Blue42
41866.4
247315.8
661926.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745802040801001206042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.3
49.148.8
Auto16.2
Teleop23.7
End4.6
red by 18.3
6619
#24
26.20.8
29.428.5
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Second
7245
#16
11.90.3
12.111.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End1.7
blue by 3.9
2473
#27
15.80.8
17.416.6
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Third
8793
#22
4.50.3
3.83.5
Auto0.9
Teleop1.8
End1.8
blue by 1.8
4186
#39
6.40.8
7.56.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed