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Red59
545818.8
594043.0
161920.5
Blue58
541921.0
76614.8
167121.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016402040801201405958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.9
46.844.9
Auto13.4
Teleop23.4
End6.2
red by 21.4
1671
#11
21.60.4
23.723.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Second
1619
#14
20.51.9
18.816.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
blue by 0.5
5419
#30
21.00.4
23.322.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End3.5
Third
5458
#12
18.81.9
21.719.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.4
red by 3.9
766
#7
14.80.4
15.415.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed